STRONG STREAK FOR RISK ASSETS
The S&P 500 rose 5% in June, 2% in July, and is tracking for a 3% gain halfway through August.1 Double-digit returns in tech and communication services have continued to drive the index higher. Small caps outperformed, crypto rallied, and value lagged.2 International performance remained firm, supported by the twin tailwinds of dollar weakness and easing policy uncertainty.
The headline number follows a slew of macro and micro catalysts. Q2 earnings bolstered both returns and risk appetites: reported figures have (once again) surprised to the upside, with earnings per share (EPS) tracking a 11% beat relative to consensus expectations.3 But macro data was less supportive, with July’s labor market data underwent sharp revisions from prior reporting (May’s 125k jobs cut to just 19k, June’s total revised down to 14k after printing 147k initially).4
Here's how that backdrop shaped ETF/ETP trends over the summer:
