The decision to stake, or not, does not materially change an investor’s exposure to the price movements of ETH, which remain the primary driver of returns. Investing in ETH is expressing a view that more applications will be built on Ethereum’s open platform, with the idea of attracting more users, more revenue, and expanding the ecosystem in which ETH is utilized as money.
Staking introduces the potential to generate ETH-denominated rewards on top of existing ETH exposure, but this comes with additional risks, primarily: 1) liquidity risk; and 2) potential loss of capital through penalties or slashing.
Staked ETH is less liquid: Ethereum staking requires locking ETH in the Ethereum protocol, which means withdrawals can take a variable amount of time depending on network conditions, particularly the number of other validators attempting to exit at the same time. The Ethereum protocol limits the rate at which new ETH can enter or exit the validator set for security purposes. As a result, beginning to stake or withdrawing existing stake may take significantly longer during periods of elevated activity. While withdrawing staked ETH often takes several days under normal conditions, delays can extend to weeks or even months in more extreme environments.
Loss of Capital: Staking ETH exposes validators to the risk that a portion of their staked ETH may be reduced if they fail to complete their responsibilities assigned by the protocol. These reductions can range from “penalties”, which are relatively small losses due to operational issues, such as prolonged downtime, to potentially more severe losses in the case of a “slashing” event, which are specific protocol violations that pose greater systemic risk to the network.
In practice, historical data indicates that realized losses from staking have been limited. Validators have a 99.7%9 uptime rate — meaning the percentage of time validators are active and participating in network consensus — since Ethereum implemented staking in December 2020, and only 0.03% of all validators have ever been slashed. Of those 0.03%10 of validators that have been slashed, the largest realized loss was about 3%11 of their stake. All of that’s to say, staking rewards have far exceeded losses, generating ~$10 billion12 in net rewards to stakers since 2020. While this historical experience is informative, it may not be indicative of future results.